The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) epidemic has spread to 23 countries from China. Local cycles of transmission already occurred in 7 countries following case importation. No African country has reported cases yet. The management and control of 2019-nCoV introductions heavily relies on country’s health capacity. We evaluated the preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against their risk of importation of 2019-nCoV.
Global distribution of introduction risk over human population density (left) and distribution of the SPAR capacity index (top right) and Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index (IDVI, bottom right). Countries with no estimates of introduction risk correspond to situations where the risk of entry was found to be negligible at the time of analysis.
The report is currently under screening at medrxiv, we will update the links once it is posted.
This work was done in collaboration with Marius Gilbert, Univ. Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium;
Moritz Kraemer, Univ. Oxford, UK; REACTing team, Inserm, Paris, France.
This work was done in collaboration with Marius Gilbert, Univ. Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium;
Moritz Kraemer, Univ. Oxford, UK; REACTing team, Inserm, Paris, France.
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