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Effects of heterogeneous length of stay on epidemic spread

6/27/2012

 
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Empirical data show that the travel dynamics of individuals is characterized by a broadly distributed trip duration, with a length of stay at destination spanning many orders of magnitude. Such varying length of stay affects the possibility and duration of mixing events among individuals and may therefore have a strong impact on the geographical propagation of infectious diseases. We account for this aspect in the theoretical work recently published in Nature Scientific Reports: 
Heterogeneous length of stay of hosts’ movements and spatial epidemic spread 
C. Poletto, M. Tizzoni, V. Colizza 
Nature Scientific Reports 2:476 (2012).

read more at: http://epifor.eu/bb/post/72

New approach to optimize epidemic control on dynamical systems

6/11/2012

 
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We present a novel approach to include the full dynamical nature of bovine displacements in the study of animal infectious disease spreading aimed at characterizing the vulnerability of the livestock trade system to design novel and optimized surveillance systems:



Optimizing surveillance for livestock disease spreading through animal movements
Paolo Bajardi, Alain Barrat, Lara Savini, Vittoria Colizza
J. Roy. Soc. Interface doi: 10.1098/rsif.2012.0289 (2012).


read more at: http://epifor.eu/bb/post/71

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