Three years after our first paper on H1N1 predictions appeared in BMC Medicine, we are truly happy to announce that the second paper on the model's validation and assessment of those predictions is finally out - this one again in BMC Medicine:
Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, D Balcan, B Goncalves, N Perra, V Colizza, A Vespignani.
BMC Medicine 10:165 (2012).
read more here.
Two days to meet with the lab at the Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise for the KO of our project on swine movements and infectious diseases. The project is funded by the Italian Ministry of Health and will focus on the study of swine vescicular disease, classical swine fever and african swine fever, with modeling approaches that integrate the animal movements among farms to assess their role in the spread of the diseases. The project will last for two years - more info on the grants webpage.
With the KO meeting at INSERM, today we start the HARMSFLU project funded by the ANR (French national agency for research) for 39 months under the grant call 'numerical methods'. Our lab coordinates the project, in collaboration with the InVS (National Institute for Health Surveillance) and the CNRS team at the CPT (Center for Theoretical Physics) in Marseille. The project proposes an interdisciplinary research effort with the potential to transform our understanding of the population-disease-encironment system and our ability to plan/react/control a newly emerging pandemic. Stay tuned for further developments and the project results! more info on the grants webpage.