Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
G Pullano, F Pinotti, E Valdano, P-Y Boëlle, C Poletto, V Colizza, Euro Surveill. 2020;25(4):pii=2000057
As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimated the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We considered travel restrictions in place in Wuhan, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.