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Paper out on the impact of heterogeneous mixing and travel behavior on the spatial spread of epidemics

1/26/2014

 
People behave differently in the way they travel and have social interaction. These two layers of heterogeneity may substantially impact the spatial propagation of infections. In

Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour 
A. Apolloni, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, P. Jensen, V. Colizza, 
Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 11 (1), 3 (2014)

we provided a general theoretical framework that couple a multi-host model for the heterogeneous mixing among individuals with the metapopulation approach. We address the impact  on the invasion potential of an epidemic of  social partition of the population and across group mixing, relative social activity and travel attitude of different social groups.  The framework provides important information for  pandemic preparedness studies to identify adequate interventions, as well as in an emerging epidemic situation to assess the pandemic potential of the pathogen.
Picture
Scheme of the model:The spatial layer, based on the metapopulation approach, describes the space structure and the mobility of individuals. The social layer describes the contact structure within each subpopulation

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