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Preprints

Global Flu View - enabling multi-centric participatory disease surveillance for global health enhancement: a viewpoint
O Leal Neto, D Paolotti, C Dalton, S Carlson, P Susumpow, M Parker, P Phetra, Eric Lau, V Colizza, A Jan van Hoek, C Kjelsø, JS Brownstein, MS Smolinski

Genomic assessment of invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1
JL-H Tsui, B Lambert, S Bajaj, JT McCrone, RPD Inward, P Bosetti, V Hill, R Evans Pena, AE Zarebski, TP Peacock, L Liu, N Wu, M Davis, II Bogoch, K Khan, R Colquhoun, Á O’Toole, B Jackson, A Dasgupta, E Wilkinson, H Tegally, T de Oliveira, The COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) consortium, TR Connor, NJ Loman, V Colizza, C Fraser, E Volz, X Ji, MA Suchard, B Gutierrez, M Chand, S Dellicour, S Cauchemez, J Raghwani,  P Lemey, A Rambaut, OG Pybus, MUG Kraemer

Epidemic graph diagrams as analytics for epidemic control in the data-rich era
E Valdano, D Colombi, C Poletto, V Colizza

Ignoring spatial heterogeneity in drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the US will impede sustained elimination
Z Susswein, E Valdano, T Brett, P Rohani, V Colizza, S Bansal

Characterizing an epidemiological geography of the United States: influenza as a case study
GE Rosensteel, EC Lee, V Colizza, S Bansal

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Publications

2023

Attitudes towards booster, testing and isolation, and their impact on COVID-19 response in winter 2022/2023 in France, Belgium, and Italy: a cross-sectional survey and modelling study 
G de Meijere, E Valdano, C Castellano, M Debin, C Kengne-Kuetche, C Turbelin, H Noël, J Weitz, D Paolotti, L Hermans, N Hens, V Colizza
The Lancet Regional Health - 100614 (2023)

Modeling the impact of national and regional lockdowns on the 2020 spring wave of COVID-19 in France
J Roux, C Massonnaud, V Colizza, S Cauchemez, P Crépey
Sci Rep 13, 1834 (2023)


Minimising school disruption under high incidence conditions due to the Omicron variant in France, Switzerland, Italy in January 2022
E Colosi, G Bassignana, A Barrat, B Lina, P Vanhems, J Bielicki, V Colizza
Eurosurveillance 18 (5), 2200192 
(2023)

Global patterns and drivers of influenza decline during the COVID-19 pandemic
F Bonacina, PY Boëlle, V Colizza, O Lopez, M Thomas, C Poletto
International Journal of Infectious Diseases in press (2023)
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2022

Use of mobile phone data in HIV epidemic control
E Valdano, JT Okano, V Colizza, HK Mitonga, S Blower
The Lancet HIV 9, E820 (2022)

Controlling SARS-CoV-2 in schools using repetitive testing strategies

A Torneri, L Willem, V Colizza, C Kremer, C Meuris, G Darcis, N Hens, P Libin
eLife 11, e75593 (2022)

Impact of contact data resolution on the evaluation of interventions in mathematical models of infectious diseases 
DA Contreras, E Colosi, G Bassignana, V Colizza, A Barrat
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 19, 191 (2022)

​Spatial aggregation choice in the era of digital and administrative surveillance data
EC Lee, A Arab, V Colizza, S Bansal
PLOS Digital Health 1(6): e0000039 (2022)

Initial risk perception and feeling of preparedness of primary care physicians regarding the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium, France and Spain in February 2020
C Guerrisi, B Thomas, A Ordax Diez, D Van Cauteren, J E Lozano Alonso, S Moreels, A Falchi, T Vega Alonso, I Bonmarin, J Raude, A M Vilcu, T Hanslik, M Debin, L Rossignol, V Colizza, C Souty, T Blanchon
BMC Primary Care 23(1):18 (2022)

Screening and vaccination against COVID-19 to minimise school closure: a modelling study
E Colosi, G Bassignana, DA Contreras, C Poirier, PY Boëlle, S Cauchemez, Y Yazdanpanah, B Lina, A Fontanet, A Barrat, V Colizza
The Lancet Infectious Diseases (2022), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00138-4

Modelling COVID-19 in school settings to evaluate prevention and control protocols
E Colosi, G Bassignana, A Barrat, V Colizza
Anaesthesia Critical Care & Pain Medicine 41, 2 (2022)

Seasonal influenza vaccination in pharmacy in France: description and determinants of the vaccinated at-risk population using this service, 1 year after implementation
R Liard,  C Souty, C Guerrisi, V Colizza, T Hanslik, CK Kuetche, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, M Debin
International Journal of Pharmacy Practice riac007, https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpp/riac007

Evaluating COVID-19 Booster Vaccination Strategies in a Partially Vaccinated Population: A Modeling Study
​CR Massonnaud, J Roux, V Colizza, P Crépey​
Vaccines 10(3), 479 (2022)

Agent-based modelling of reactive vaccination of workplaces and schools against COVID-19​
B Faucher, R Assab, J Roux, D Levy-Bruhl, C Tran Kiem, S Cauchemez, L Zanetti, V Colizza, PY Boëlle, C Poletto
Nature Communications 13, 1414 (2022)

Impact of urban structure on infectious disease spreading
J Aguilar, A Bassolas, G Ghoshal, S Hazarie, A Kirkley, M Mazzoli, S Meloni, S Mimar, V Nicosia, JJ Ramasco, A Sadilek
Scientific Reports 12, 1--13 (2022)

Epidemiology and control of SARS-CoV-2 epidemics in partially vaccinated populations: a modeling study applied to France
P Bosetti, C Tran Kiem, A Andronico, V Colizza, Y Yazdanpanah, A Fontanet, D Benamouzig, S Cauchemez
BMC Medicine 20, 33 (2022)

Perceived risk of opioid use disorder secondary to opioid analgesic medication use by the general population in France
J Lavergne, M Debin, T Blanchon, V Colizza, L Dassieu, L Gimenez, C Kengne-Kuetche, M Lapeyre-Mestre, J Dupouy
European Journal of Pain 00, 1– 11 (2022)

Are People Optimistically Biased about the Risk of COVID-19 Infection? Lessons from the First Wave of the Pandemic in Europe
K McColl, M Debin, C Souty, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, A Falchi, I Bonmarin, D Paolotti, C Obi, J Duggan, Y Moreno, A Wisniak, A Flahault, T Blanchon, V Colizza, J Raude
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 19, 436 (2022)

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2021

Infodemics: A new challenge for public health
SC Briand, M Cinelli, T Nguyen, R Lewis, D Prybylski, CM Valensise, V Colizza, AE Tozzi, N Perra, A Baronchelli, M Tizzoni, F Zollo, A Scala, T Purnat, C Czerniak, AJ Kucharski, A Tshangela, L Zhou, W Quattrociocchi
Cell 184, 6010–6014 (2021)

Adherence and sustainability of interventions informing optimal control against the COVID-19 pandemic 
L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, PY Boëlle, C Poletto, P Crépey, J Paireau, S Cauchemez, F Beck, H Noel, D Levy-Bruhl, V Colizza
Communications Medicine 1, 57 (2021)


Effect of delayed awareness and fatigue on the efficacy of self-isolation in epidemic control
G De Meijere, V Colizza, E Valdano, C Castellano
Phys. Rev. E 104, 044316 (2021)

​Interplay between mobility, multi-seeding and lockdowns shapes COVID-19 local impact
M Mazzoli, E Pepe, D Mateo, C Cattuto, L Gauvin, P Bajardi, M Tizzoni, A Hernando, S Meloni, JJ Ramasco
PLOS Computational Biology 17, e1009326 (2021)

Common communicable diseases in the general population in France during the COVID-19 pandemic
T Launay, C Souty, AM Vilcu, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, C Guerrisi, T Hanslik, V Colizza, I Bardoulat, M Lemaître, PY Boëlle
PLoS One 16, e0258391 (2021)

Modelling the persistence and control of Rift Valley fever virus in a spatially heterogeneous landscape
WSD Tennant, E Cardinale, C Cêtre-Sossah, Y Moutroifi, G Le Godais, D Colombi, SEF Spencer, MJ Tildesley, MJ Keeling, O Charafouddine, V Colizza, WJ Edmunds, R Métras
Nature Communications 12, 5593 (2021)

Projecting the COVID-19 epidemic risk in France for the summer 2021
M Mazzoli, E Valdano, V Colizza
Journal of Travel Medicine 28, taab129 (2021)

Social fluidity mobilizes contagion in human and animal populations
E Colman, V Colizza, EM Hanks, AP Modlmeier, DP Hughes, S Bansal
eLife 10, e62177 (2021)

Untangling introductions and persistence in COVID-19 resurgence in Europe
P Lemey, N Ruktanonchai, SL Hong, V Colizza, C Poletto, F Van den Broeck, MS Gill, X Ji, A Levasseur, BB Oude Munnink, M Koopmans, A Sadilek, S Lai, A J. Tatem, G Baele, AA Suchard, S Dellicour, 
Nature 595, 713–717 (2021)

A modelling study investigating short and medium-term challenges for COVID-19 vaccination: from prioritisation to the relaxation of measures
C Tran Kiem, C Massonnaud, D Levy-Bruhl, C Poletto, V Colizza, P Bosetti, A Fontanet, A Gabet, V Olie, L Zanetti, PY Boëlle, P Crepey, S Cauchemez
EClinicalMedicine 38, 101001 (2021)

The missing season: The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on influenza
​CM Zipfel, V Colizza, S Bansal
Vaccine
 39, 3645-3648 (2021)

Using mobile phone data to reveal risk flow networks underlying the HIV epidemic in Namibia
E Valdano, J T Okano, V Colizza, H K Mitonga, S Blower
Nature Communications 12, 2837 (2021)

​Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, G Pullano, D Lévy-Bruhl​, V Colizza
Eurosurveillance 26, 2100272 (2021)


​Highlighting socio-economic constraints on mobility reductions during COVID-19 restrictions in France can inform effective and equitable pandemic response
E Valdano, J Lee, S Bansal, S Rubrichi, V Colizza
Journal of Travel Medicine
 28, taab045 (2021)

Reorganization of nurse scheduling reduces the risk of healthcare associated infections
E Valdano, C Poletto, PY Boelle, V Colizza
Scientific Reports 
11, 7393 (2021)

Health inequities in influenza transmission and surveillance
CM Zipfel, V Colizza, S Bansal
PLOS Computational Biology 17, e1008642 (2021)

Anatomy of digital contact tracing: role of age, transmission setting, adoption and case detection
JA Moreno López, B Arregui-Garcĺa, P Bentkowski, L Bioglio, F Pinotti, PY Boëlle, A Barrat, V Colizza, C Poletto
Science Advances
 7, eabd8750 (2021)

Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France​
​L Di Domenico, G Pullano, CE Sabbatini, P-Y Boelle, V Colizza
Nature Communications 
12, 1073 (2021)

Time to evaluate COVID-19 contact-tracing apps
V Colizza, E Grill, R Mikolajczyk, C Cattuto, A Kucharski, S Riley, M Kendall, K Lythgoe, D Bonsall, C Wymant, L Abeler-Dörner, L Ferretti, C Fraser
Nature Medicine 27, 361–362 (2021)

Early warning of infectious disease outbreaks on cattle-transport networks
F Schirdewahn, HHK Lentz, V Colizza, A Koher, P Hövel, B Vidondo
PLoS ONE 16, e0244999 (2021)

​Underdetection of COVID-19 cases in France threatens epidemic control
G Pullano, L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, E Valdano, C Turbelin, M Debin, C Guerrisi, C Kengne-Kuetche, C Souty, T Hanslik, T Blanchon, PY Boëlle, J Figoni, S Vaux, C Campèse, S Bernard-Stoecklin, V Colizza
Nature 590, 134–139 (2021)
See also Nature News & Views

Impact of mass testing during an epidemic rebound of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study using the example of France
P Bosetti, C Tran Kiem, Y Yazdanpanah, A Fontanet, B Lina, V Colizza, S Cauchemez
Eurosurveillance
, 26, 2001978 (2021)

2020

Keeping Low Reproductive Number Despite the Rebound Population Mobility in Korea, a Country Never under Lockdown during the COVID-19 Pandemic
S Kim, Y Kim, K Peck, Y Ko, J Lee, E Jung
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17, 9551 (2020)

Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study
G Pullano, E Valdano, N Scarpa, S Rubrichi, V Colizza
The Lancet Digital Health 2, E638-E649 (2020)

Accommodating individual travel history and unsampled diversity in Bayesian phylogeographic inference of SARS-CoV-2
P Lemey, SL Hong, V Hill, G Baele, C Poletto, V Colizza, Á O’Toole, JT McCrone, KG Andersen, M Worobey, MI Nelson, A Rambaut, MA Suchard
Nature Communications 11, 5110 (2020)

Active and inactive quarantine in epidemic spreading on adaptive activity-driven networks
M Mancastroppa, R Burioni, V Colizza, A Vezzani
Physical Review E 102, 020301(R) (2020) 

Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Île-de-France and possible exit strategies
L Di Domenico, G Pullano, CE Sabbatini, P-Y Boëlle, V Colizza
BMC Medicine 18, 240 (2020)

Determinants and risk factors of gastroenteritis in the general population, a web-based cohort between 2014 and 2017 in France
M Ecollan, C Guerrisi, C Souty, L Rossignol, C Turbelin, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon
BMC Public Health 20, 1146 (2020)

Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study
F Pinotti, L Di Domenico, E Ortega, M Mancastroppa, G Pullano, E Valdano, P-Y Boelle, C Poletto, V Colizza
PLOS Medicine 17, e1003193 (2020) 

Long-range movements coupled with heterogeneous incubation period sustain dog rabies at the national scale in Africa
D Colombi, C Poletto, E Nakouné, H Bourhy, V Colizza
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14, e0008317 (2020)

Mobile phone data for informing public health actions across the COVID-19 pandemic lifecycle
N Oliver, B Lepri, H Sterly,  R Lambiotte, S Delataille, M De Nadai, E Letouzé, A Ali Salah, R Benjamins, C Cattuto, V Colizza, N de Cordes, SP Fraiberger, T Koebe, S Lehmann, J Murillo, A Pentland, P N Pham, F Pivetta,  J Saramäki, SV Scarpino, M Tizzoni, S Verhulst, P Vinck
Science Advances 6, 23 (2020)

Excess cases of influenza-like illnesses synchronous with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic, France, March 2020
PY Boëlle, C Souty, T Launay, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, S Behillil, V Enouf, C Poletto, B Lina, S van der Werf, D Lévy-Bruhl, V Colizza, T Hanslik, T Blanchon
Eurosurveillance 25, 2000326 (2020)

Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
M Gilbert, G Pullano, F Pinotti, E Valdano, C Poletto, PY Boelle, E D'Ortenzio, Y Yazdanpanah, SP Eholie, M Altmann, B Gutierrez, M U. G. Kraemer, V Colizza
The Lancet  395, 871-877 (2020)

Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
G Pullano, F Pinotti, E Valdano, P-Y Boëlle, C Poletto, V Colizza
Eurosurveillance 25, 2000057 (2020)
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2019

Introduction to modeling disease spread in space
V Colizza
Proceedings of the International School of Physics 'Enrico Fermi' 141-170 (2019) DOI: 10.3254/190010​

Factors associated with influenza-like-illness: a crowdsourced cohort study from 2012/13 to 2017/18
C Guerrisi, M Ecollan, C Souty, L Rossignol, C Turbelin, M Debin, T Goronflot, P-Y Boëlle, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon
BMC Public Health 19, 879 (2019)

Population perception of mandatory childhood vaccination programme before its implementation, France, 2017
P Mathieu, A Gautier, J Raude, T Goronflot, T Launay, M Debin, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, T Hanslik, C Jestin, V Colizza, T Blanchon, L Rossignol
Eurosurveillance 24, 1900053 (2019)

Host contact dynamics shapes richness and dominance of pathogen strains
F Pinotti, E Fleury, D Guillemot, P-Y Böelle, C Poletto​
PLoS Computational Biology 15, e1006530 (2019)

Unsupervised Extraction of Epidemic Syndromes from Participatory Influenza Surveillance Self-reported Symptoms
K Kalimeri, M Delfino, C Cattuto, D Perrotta, V Colizza, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, J Duggan, J Edmunds, C Obi, R Pebody, R Mexia, A Franco, Y Moreno, S Meloni, C Koppeschaar, C Kjelsø, D Paolotti
PLoS Computational Biology 
15, e1006173 (2019)

Farm productive contexts and the dynamics of bovine viral diarrhea (BVD) transmission​
B Iotti, E Valdano, L Savini, L Candeloro, A Giovannini, S Rosati, V Colizza, M Giacobini
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 165, 23 (2019)


Mechanisms for lyssavirus persistence in non-synanthropic bats in Europe: insights from a modeling study
D Colombi, J Serra-Cobo, R Métras, A Apolloni, C Poletto, M López-Roig, H Bourhy, V Colizza
Scientific Reports 9, 537 (2019)

Disease persistence on temporal contact networks accounting for heterogeneous infectious periods
A Darbon, D Colombi, E Valdano, L Savini, A Giovannini, V Colizza
Royal Society Open Science 6, 181404 (2019)


2018

Shifting patterns of seasonal influenza epidemics
P Coletti, C Poletto, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, V Colizza
Scientific Reports 8, 12786 (2018)

Network-based assessment of the vulnerability of Italian regions to bovine brucellosis
A Darbon, E Valdano, C Poletto, A Giovannini, L Savini, L Candeloro, V Colizza
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 158, 25 (2018)

Modeling the impact of changes in day-care contact patterns on the dynamics of varicella transmission in France between 1991 and 2015
V Marziano, P Poletti, G Béraud, P-Y Boëlle, S Merler, V Colizza
PLoS Computational Biology 14(8): e1006334 (2018)

​The potential value of crowdsourced surveillance systems in supplementing sentinel influenza networks: the case of France
C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, C Souty, C Poletto, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, V Colizza
Eurosurveillance 23(25):pii=1700337 (2018)

Improving early epidemiological assessment of emerging Aedes-transmitted epidemics using historical data
J Riou, C Poletto, P-Y Boëlle 
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 12(6): e0006526 (2018)

The impact of regular school closure on seasonal influenza epidemics: a data-driven spatial transmission model for Belgium 
G De Luca, K Van Kerckhove, P Coletti, C Poletto, N Bossuyt, N Hens, V Colizza
BMC Infectious Diseases 18, 29 (2018)

Epidemic threshold in continuous-time evolving networks 
E Valdano, M Re Fiorentin, C Poletto, and V Colizza
Physical Review Letters  120, 068302 (2018)
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2017

Healthcare-seeking behaviour in case of influenza-like illness in the French general population and factors associated with a GP consultation: an observational prospective study
M Ariza, C Guerrisi, C Souty, L Rossignol, C Turbelin, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon
BJGP Open 1(4): bjgpopen17X101253 (2017)

Influenzanet: Citizens Among 10 Countries Collaborating to Monitor Influenza in Europe

CE Koppeschaar, V Colizza, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, J Duggan, WJ Edmunds, C Kjelsø, R Mexia, Y Moreno, S Meloni, D Paolotti, D Perrotta, E van Straten, AO Franco
JMIR Public Health Surveill 3(3):e66 (2017)

Assessing the use of mobile phone data to describe recurrent mobility patterns in spatial epidemic models
C Panigutti, M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, Z Smoreda, V Colizza
Royal Society Open Science 4, 160950 (2017)

Human mobility networks and persistence of rapidly mutating pathogens,
A Aleta, ANS Hisi, S Meloni, C Poletto, V Colizza, Y Moreno
Royal Society Open Science 4: 160914 (2017)
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A comparative analysis of Chikungunya and Zika transmission,
 J. Riou, C. Poletto, P.Y. Boëlle
Epidemics 19, 43 (2017​)​ 


2016

Participatory Syndromic Surveillance of Influenza in Europe
C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, D Perrotta, D Paolotti, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, AO Franco, R Mexia, WJ Edmunds, B Sile, R Pebody, E van Straten, S Meloni, Y Moreno, J Duggan, C Kjelsø, V Colizza
Journal of Infectious Diseases 214, S386 (2016)

Recalibrating disease parameters for increasing realism in modeling epidemics in closed settings
L Bioglio, M Génois, CL Vestergaard, C Poletto, A Barrat, V Colizza
BMC Infectious Diseases 16, 676 (2016)

Risk of MERS importation and onward transmission: a systematic review and analysis of cases reported to WHO
C Poletto, PY Boelle, V Colizza
BMC Infectious Diseases 16, 448 (2016)

Influenza during pregnancy: Incidence, vaccination coverage and attitudes toward vaccination in the French web-based cohort G-GrippeNet
P Loubet, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, B Blondel, O Launay, M Bardou, F Goffinet, V Colizza, T Hanslik, S Kernéis
Vaccine 34, 2390 (2016)

Impact of spatially constrained sampling of temporal contact networks on the evaluation of the epidemic risk
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C Vestergaard, E Valdano, M Génois, C Poletto, V Colizza, A Barrat
European Journal of Applied Mathematics  27, 941 ​(2016)

First nationwide web-based surveillance system for influenza-like illness in pregnant women: participation and representativeness of the French G-GrippeNet cohort
P Loubet, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, B Blondel, O Launay, M Bardou, T Blanchon, I Bonmarin, F Goffinet, P Ancel, V Colizza, T Hanslik, S Kernéis
BMC Public Health 16, 253 (2016)
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Quantifying spatiotemporal heterogeneity of MERS-CoV transmission in the Middle East region: A combined modelling approach
C Poletto, V Colizza, PY Boelle
Epidemics 15, 1 (2016) 


2015

Infection propagator approach to compute epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: impact of immunity and of limited temporal resolution
E Valdano, C Poletto, V Colizza
European Physical Journal B 88, 341 (2015)

Opinion about seasonal influenza vaccination among the general population 3 years after the A(H1N1)pdm2009 influenza pandemic
K Boirona, M Sarazin, M Debina, J Raude, L Rossignol, C Guerrisi, D Odinkemelu, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon
Vaccine 33, 6849 (2015)

Analytical computation of the epidemic threshold on temporal networks
E Valdano, L Ferreri, C Poletto, V Colizza
Physical Review X  5, 021005 (2015) 
[Python code] [Physics highlight]

Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data
E Valdano, C Poletto, A Giovannini, D Palma, L Savini, V Colizza
PLoS Computational Biology 11(3): e1004152 (2015)
[PCB cover]

Characterising two-pathogen competition in spatially structured environments
C Poletto, S Meloni, A Van Metre, V Colizza, Y Moreno, A Vespignani
Scientific Reports 5, 7895 (2015)



2014

Association between Recruitment Methods and Attrition in Internet-Based Studies.
P Bajardi , D Paolotti, A Vespignani,  K Eames, S Funk, W J Edmunds, C Turbelin, M Debin, V Colizza, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, A O Franco, V Faustino, A Carnahan, M Rehn, F Merletti, J Douwes, R Firestone, L Richiardi
PLoS ONE 9(12): e114925 (2014)

Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic.
C Poletto, MF C Gomes, A Pastore y Piontti, L Rossi, L Bioglio, DL Chao, IM Longini, ME Halloran, V Colizza, A Vespignani
Eurosurveillance 19:42 (2014)

The representativeness of a European multi-center network for influenza-like-illness participatory surveillance. 
P Cantarelli, M Debin, C Turbelin, C Poletto, T Blanchon, A Falchi, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, A Micheletti, D Paolotti, A Vespignani, J Edmunds, K Eames, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, A O Franco, V Faustino, A Carnahan, M Rehn, V Colizza 
BMC Public Health 14:984 (2014)

Local and regional spread of chikungunya fever in the Americas. 
S Cauchemez, M Ledrans, C Poletto, P Quenel, H de Valk, V Colizza, P-Y Boëlle
Eurosurveillance 19:28 (2014)

On the Use of Human Mobility Proxies for Modeling Epidemics
M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, A Decuyper, G Kon Kam King, C Schneider, V Blondel, Z Smoreda, M Gonzalez, V Colizza
PLOS Computational Biology 10(7): e1003716 (2014)

Assessment of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) epidemic in the Middle East and risk of international spread using a novel maximum likelihood analysis approach
C Poletto, C Pelat, D Levy-Bruhl, Y Yazdanpanah, PY Boelle, V Colizza
Eurosurveillance 19(23): pii20824 (2014)

Determinants of follow-up participation in the Internet-based European Influenza Surveillance platform Influenzanet 
P Bajardi, A Vepsignani, S Funk, KTD Eames, J Edmunds, C Turbelin, M Debin, V Colizza,
R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, AO Franco, V Faustino, A Carnahan, M Rehn, D Paolotti
Journal of Medical Internet Research 16(3), e78 (2014) 

Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour 
A. Apolloni, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, P. Jensen, V. Colizza, 
Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 11 (1), 3 (2014)

Effectiveness of 2012-2013 influenza vaccine against influenza-like-illness in general population: estimation in a French web-based cohort
M Debin, V Colizza, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, C Turbelin, A Falchi 
Human Vaccine & Immunotherapeutics 10(3), 1 (2014)

Web-based participatory surveillance of infectious diseases: the Influenzanet participatory surveillance experience
D Paolotti, A Carnahan, V Colizza, K Eames, J Edmunds, G Gomes, C Koppeschaar, M Rehn, R Smallenburg, C Turbelin,
S Van Noort, A Vespignani
Clinical Microbiology and Infection 20:17-21 (2014).



2013

Human mobility and time spent at destination: Impact on spatial epidemic spreading.
C Poletto, M Tizzoni and V Colizza 
Journal of Theoretical Biology 338:41-58 (2013). 

Empirical temporal networks of face-to-face human interactions
A Barrat, C Cattuto, V Colizza, F Gesualdo, L Isella, E Pandolfi, J-F Pinton, L Rava, C Rizzo, M Romano, J Stehle, AE Tozzi, W Van den Broeck
European Physical Journal Special Topics 222, 1295 (2013).

Evaluating the feasibility and participants' representativeness of an online nationwide surveillance system for influenza in France
M Debin, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, I Bonmarin, A Falchi, T Hanslik, D Levy-Bruhl, C Poletto, V Colizza
PLOS ONE 8(9):e73675 (2013).

Host mobility drives pathogen competition in spatially structured populations
C Poletto, S Meloni, V Colizza, Y Moreno, A Vespignani
PLOS Computational Biology 9(8): e1003169 (2013).

Age-specific contacts and travel patterns in the spatial spread of 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic
A Apolloni, C Poletto, V Colizza.
BMC Infectious Diseases 13, 176 (2013).



2012

Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, D Balcan, B Goncalves, N Perra, V Colizza, A Vespignani.
BMC Medicine 10, 165 (2012).

Heterogeneous length of stay of hosts’ movements and spatial epidemic spread
C Poletto,  M Tizzoni,  V Colizza
Scientific Reports 2, 476  (2012).

Optimizing surveillance for livestock disease spreading through animal movements
P Bajardi, A Barrat, L Savini, V Colizza
Journal of Royal Society Interface 9, 2814-2825 (2012).



2011

Simulation of an SIR infectious disease model on the dynamic contact network of conference attendees
J Stehle, N Voirin, A Barrat, C Cattuto, V Colizza, L Isella, C Regis, J-F Pinton, N Khanafer, W Van den Broeck, P Vanhems
BMC Medicine 9, 87 (2011).

Dynamical patterns of cattle trade movements
P Bajardi, A Barrat, F Natale, L Savini, V Colizza
PLoS ONE 6(5), e19869 (2011).

Close encounters in a pediatric ward: measuring face-to-face proximity and mixing patterns with wearable sensors
L Isella, M Romano, A Barrat, C Cattuto, V Colizza, W Van den Broeck, F Gesualdo, E Pandolfi, L Rava, C Rizzo, AE Tozzi
PLoS ONE 6(2), e17144 (2011).

Assessing the exotoxicologic hazards of a pandemic influenza medical response
AC Singer, V Colizza, H Schmitt, J Andrews, D Balcan, WE Huang, VDJ Keller, A Vespignani, R Williams
Environmental Health Perspectives 119, 1084-1090 (2011). 

The GLEaMviz computational tool, a publicly available software to explore realistic epidemic spreading scenarios at the global scale
W Van den Broeck,  C Gioannini, B Gonçalves, M. Quaggiotto, V Colizza, A Vespignani
BMC Infectious Diseases 11, 37 (2011). 
Access the recommendation on F1000Prime
Human mobility networks, travel restrictions, and the global spread of 2009 H1N1 pandemic
P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, M Tizzoni, V Colizza, A Vespignani
PLoS ONE 6(1), e16591 (2011).




2010

Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility computational model
D Balcan, B Goncalves, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, V Colizza, A Vespignani
Journal of Computational Science 1, 132 (2010).
 
Dynamics of person-to-person interactions from distributed RFID sensor networks
C Cattuto, W Van den Broeck, A Barrat, V Colizza, J-F Pinton, A Vespignani
PLoS ONE 5(7), e11596 (2010).
 
Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models
M Ajelli, B Goncalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, S Merler, A Vespignani
BMC Infectious Diseases 10, 190 (2010).



2009

Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases
D Balcan, V Colizza, B Goncalves, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, A Vespignani
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106, 21484 (2009). 
[cover]

Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere
P Bajardi, C Poletto, D Balcan, H Hu, B Goncalves, JJ Ramasco, D Paolotti, N Perra, M Tizzoni, W Van den Broeck, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
Emerging Health Threats Journal 2:e11 (2009).

Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility
D. Balcan, H Hu, B Goncalves, P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, D Paolotti, N Perra, M Tizzoni, W Van den Broeck, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
BMC Medicine 7, 45 (2009).
Access the recommendation on F1000Prime
WiFi networks and malware epidemiology
H. Hu. S. Myers, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106, 1318-1323 (2009).



2008

Prominence and Control: The Weighted Rich-Club Effect
T. Opsahl, V. Colizza, P.Panzarasa, J.J. Ramasco 
Phys Rev Lett 101, 168702 (2008).

Epidemic modeling in metapopulation systems with heterogeneous coupling pattern: Theory and simulations
V. Colizza, A. Vespignani 
J. Theor. Biol. 251, 450-467 (2008).


For publications prior to 2008 (the birth of EPIcx lab), visit here.


Book chapters

Epidemic spreading and complex networks
A. Barrat, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
in UNESCO-EOLSS Encyclopedia of Life Support System (2010).

Modeling WiFi Malware Epidemics
H. Hu, S. Myers, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
in Crimeware, M. Jakobsson & Z. Ramzan editors (Symantec Press, Addison Wesley, 2008)