Preprints
Publications
2025
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Epidemiological indices with multiple circulating pathogen strains
C Trevisin, L Mari, M Gatto, V Colizza, A Rinaldo Infectious Disease Modelling, 10, 802-812 (2025) Characterizing US spatial connectivity and implications for geographical disease dynamics and metapopulation modeling: longitudinal observational study G Pullano, LG Alvarez-Zuzek, V Colizza, S Bansal JMIR Public Health Surveill, 11, e64914 (2025) Integrating dynamical modeling and phylogeographic inference to characterize global influenza circulation F Parino, EC Gustani-Buss, T Bedford, MA Suchard, NS Trovao, A Rambaut, V Colizza, C Poletto, P Lemey PNAS Nexus, 4, e561 (2025) |
#preparedness
#mobility #influenza |
2024
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Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study
J Poongavanan, J Lourenço, JL-H Tsui, V Colizza, Y Ramphal, C Baxter, MUG Kraemer, M Dunaiski, T de Oliveira, H Tegally The Lancet Planetary Health 8, e1043-e1054 (2024) Preserving friendships in school contacts: an algorithm to construct synthetic temporal networks for epidemic modelling L Calmon, E Colosi, G Bassignana, A Barrat, V Colizza Plos Computational Biology 20, e1012661 (2024) Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile B Gutierrez, JL-H Tsui, G Pullano, M Mazzoli, K Gangavarapu, RPD Inward, S Bajaj, R Evans Pena, S Busch-Moreno, MA Suchard, OG Pybus, A Dunner, R Puentes, S Ayala, J Fernandez, R Araos, L Ferres, V Colizza, MUG Kraemer PNAS Nexus 3, 483 (2024) The hidden role of buffalo trade network in bovide epidemic spreading G Zoppi, L Candeloro, L Savini, V Colizza, M Giacobini Plos One 19, e0313657 (2024) Planning and adjusting the COVID-19 booster vaccination campaign to reduce disease burden L Di Domenico, Y Goldberg, V Colizza Infectious Disease Modelling 10, 150 (2025) Preserving system activity while controlling epidemic spreading in adaptive temporal networks M Mancastroppa, A Vezzani, V Colizza, R Burioni Phys. Rev. Research 6, 033159 (2024) Limited data on infectious disease distribution exposes ambiguity in epidemic modeling choices L Di Domenico, E Valdano, V Colizza Phys. Rev. Research 6, 023265 (2024) Estimates of the reproduction ratio from epidemic surveillance may be biased in spatially structured populations P Birello, M Re Fiorentin, B Wang, V Colizza, E Valdano Nature Physics doi:10.1038/s41567-024-02471-7 (2024) [Nature News & Views 📣] The genomic evolutionary dynamics and global circulation patterns of respiratory syncytial virus AC Langedijk, B Vrancken, RJ Lebbink, D Wilkins, EJ Kelly, E Baraldi, AH Mascareñas de Los Santos, DM Danilenko, EH Choi, MA Palomino, H Chi, C Keller, R Cohen, J Papenburg, J Pernica, A Greenough, P Richmond, F Martinón-Torres, T Heikkinen, RT Stein, M Hosoya, MC Nunes, C Verwey, A Evers, L Kragten-Tabatabaie, MA Suchard, SL Kosakovsky Pond, C Poletto, V Colizza, P Lemey, LJ Bont on behalf of the INFORM-RSV Study Group Nature Communications 15, 3083 (2024) Drivers and impact of the early silent invasion of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha B Faucher, CE Sabbatini, P Czuppon, MUG Kraemer, P Lemey, V Colizza, F Blanquart, PY Boelle, C Poletto Nature Communications 15, 2152 (2024) SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence and associated factors among primary healthcare workers in France after the third COVID-19 wave M Pouquet, D Decarreaux, L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, P Prévot-Monsacre, T Fourié, PM Saba Villarroel, S Priet, H Blanché, J-M Sebaoun, J-F Deleuze, C Turbelin, L Rossignol, A Werner, F Kochert, B Grosgogeat, P Rabiega, J Laupie, N Abraham, H Noël, S van der Werf, V Colizza, F Carrat, R Charrel, X de Lamballerie, T Blanchon, A Falchi Scientific Reports 14, 5418 (2024) Dispersion patterns of SARS-CoV-2 variants Gamma, Lambda and Mu in Latin America and the Caribbean T Gräf, AA Martinez, G Bello, S Dellicour, P Lemey, V Colizza, M Mazzoli, C Poletto, VLO Cardoso, A Freitas da Silva, COVIGEN, F Couto Motta, PC Resende, MM Siqueira, L Franco, L Gresh, J-M Gabastou, A Rodriguez, A Vicari, S Aldighieri, J Mendez-Rico, J Almeida Leite Nature Communications 15, 1837 (2024) Underdetected dispersal and extensive local transmission drove the 2022 mpox epidemic MI Paredes, N Ahmed, M Figgins, V Colizza, P Lemey, JT McCrone, N Müller, C Tran-Kiem, T Bedford Cell doi:10.1016/j.cell.2024.02.003 (2024) The impact of spatial connectivity on NPIs effectiveness CE Sabbatini, G Pullano, L Di Domenico, S Rubrichi, S Bansal, V Colizza BMC Infectious Diseases 24, 21 (2024) |
#mobility
#networks #networks #networks #vaccination #network #mobility #surveillance #genomic #surveillance #surveillance #genomic #surveillance #mobility |
2023
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Epidemic graph diagrams as analytics for epidemic control in the data-rich era
E Valdano, D Colombi, C Poletto, V Colizza Nature Communications 14, 8472 (2023) [Twitter 🧵] [Featured in the Nature Communications Editors' highlights] Intensified screening for SARS-CoV-2 in 18 emergency departments in the Paris metropolitan area, France (DEPIST-COVID): A cluster-randomized, two-period, crossover trial J Leblanc, L Dusserre-Telmon, A Chauvin, T Simon, CE Sabbatini, K Hemming, V Colizza, L Bérard, J Convert, S Lazazga, C Jegou, N Taibi, S Dautheville, D Zaghia, C Gerlier, M Domergue, F Larrouturou, F Bonnet, A Fontanet, S Salhi, J LeGoff, AC Crémieux, DEPIST-COVID group, FHU IMPEC (Improving Emergency Care) group Plos Medicine 20(12): e1004317 (2023) Reflections On Epidemiological Modeling To Inform Policy During The COVID-19 Pandemic In Western Europe, 2020–23 M Jit, K Ainslie, C Althaus, C Caetano, V Colizza, D Paolotti, P Beutels, L Willem, J Edmunds, B Nunes, S Namorado, C Faes, N Low, J Wallinga, N Hens Health Affairs 42, 1630 (2023) Global Flu View - enabling multi-centric participatory disease surveillance for global health enhancement: a viewpoint O Leal Neto, D Paolotti, C Dalton, S Carlson, P Susumpow, M Parker, P Phetra, Eric Lau, V Colizza, A Jan van Hoek, C Kjelsø, JS Brownstein, MS Smolinski JMIR Public Health Surveill, 9:e46644 (2023) Genomic assessment of invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 JL-H Tsui, B Lambert, S Bajaj, JT McCrone, RPD Inward, P Bosetti, V Hill, R Evans Pena, AE Zarebski, TP Peacock, L Liu, N Wu, M Davis, II Bogoch, K Khan, R Colquhoun, Á O’Toole, B Jackson, A Dasgupta, E Wilkinson, H Tegally, T de Oliveira, The COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) consortium, TR Connor, NJ Loman, V Colizza, C Fraser, E Volz, X Ji, MA Suchard, B Gutierrez, M Chand, S Dellicour, S Cauchemez, J Raghwani, P Lemey, A Rambaut, OG Pybus, MUG Kraemer Science, 381 (6655), 336-343 (2023) [Twitter 🧵] Attitudes towards booster, testing and isolation, and their impact on COVID-19 response in winter 2022/2023 in France, Belgium, and Italy: a cross-sectional survey and modelling study G de Meijere, E Valdano, C Castellano, M Debin, C Kengne-Kuetche, C Turbelin, H Noël, J Weitz, D Paolotti, L Hermans, N Hens, V Colizza The Lancet Regional Health - Europe 28, 100614 (2023) [Twitter 🧵] [Code 💻] Spatial immunization to abate disease spreading in transportation hubs M Mazzoli, R Gallotti, F Privitera, P Colet, JJ Ramasco Nature Communications 14, 1448 (2023) Modeling the impact of national and regional lockdowns on the 2020 spring wave of COVID-19 in France J Roux, C Massonnaud, V Colizza, S Cauchemez, P Crépey Scientific Reports 13, 1834 (2023) Minimising school disruption under high incidence conditions due to the Omicron variant in France, Switzerland, Italy in January 2022 E Colosi, G Bassignana, A Barrat, B Lina, P Vanhems, J Bielicki, V Colizza Eurosurveillance 18 (5), 2200192 (2023) [Twitter 🧵] Global patterns and drivers of influenza decline during the COVID-19 pandemic F Bonacina, PY Boëlle, V Colizza, O Lopez, M Thomas, C Poletto International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 128, 132-139 (2023) [Twitter 🧵] |
#networks
#response #response #surveillance #genomic #behavior #contacts #response #response #preparedness |
2022
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Use of mobile phone data in HIV epidemic control
E Valdano, JT Okano, V Colizza, HK Mitonga, S Blower The Lancet HIV 9, E820 (2022) Controlling SARS-CoV-2 in schools using repetitive testing strategies A Torneri, L Willem, V Colizza, C Kremer, C Meuris, G Darcis, N Hens, P Libin eLife 11, e75593 (2022) Impact of contact data resolution on the evaluation of interventions in mathematical models of infectious diseases DA Contreras, E Colosi, G Bassignana, V Colizza, A Barrat Journal of the Royal Society Interface 19, 191 (2022) [Twitter 🧵] Spatial aggregation choice in the era of digital and administrative surveillance data EC Lee, A Arab, V Colizza, S Bansal PLOS Digital Health 1(6): e0000039 (2022) Initial risk perception and feeling of preparedness of primary care physicians regarding the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium, France and Spain in February 2020 C Guerrisi, B Thomas, A Ordax Diez, D Van Cauteren, J E Lozano Alonso, S Moreels, A Falchi, T Vega Alonso, I Bonmarin, J Raude, A M Vilcu, T Hanslik, M Debin, L Rossignol, V Colizza, C Souty, T Blanchon BMC Primary Care 23(1):18 (2022) Screening and vaccination against COVID-19 to minimise school closure: a modelling study E Colosi, G Bassignana, DA Contreras, C Poirier, PY Boëlle, S Cauchemez, Y Yazdanpanah, B Lina, A Fontanet, A Barrat, V Colizza The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 22, 7, 977-989 (2022) [Twitter 🧵] Modelling COVID-19 in school settings to evaluate prevention and control protocols E Colosi, G Bassignana, A Barrat, V Colizza Anaesthesia Critical Care & Pain Medicine 41, 2 (2022) Seasonal influenza vaccination in pharmacy in France: description and determinants of the vaccinated at-risk population using this service, 1 year after implementation R Liard, C Souty, C Guerrisi, V Colizza, T Hanslik, CK Kuetche, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, M Debin International Journal of Pharmacy Practice, Volume 30, Issue 3, June 2022, Pages 253-260 Evaluating COVID-19 Booster Vaccination Strategies in a Partially Vaccinated Population: A Modeling Study CR Massonnaud, J Roux, V Colizza, P Crépey Vaccines 10(3), 479 (2022) Agent-based modelling of reactive vaccination of workplaces and schools against COVID-19 B Faucher, R Assab, J Roux, D Levy-Bruhl, C Tran Kiem, S Cauchemez, L Zanetti, V Colizza, PY Boëlle, C Poletto Nature Communications 13, 1414 (2022) [Twitter 🧵] Impact of urban structure on infectious disease spreading J Aguilar, A Bassolas, G Ghoshal, S Hazarie, A Kirkley, M Mazzoli, S Meloni, S Mimar, V Nicosia, JJ Ramasco, A Sadilek Scientific Reports 12, 1-13 (2022) Epidemiology and control of SARS-CoV-2 epidemics in partially vaccinated populations: a modeling study applied to France P Bosetti, C Tran Kiem, A Andronico, V Colizza, Y Yazdanpanah, A Fontanet, D Benamouzig, S Cauchemez BMC Medicine 20, 33 (2022) Perceived risk of opioid use disorder secondary to opioid analgesic medication use by the general population in France J Lavergne, M Debin, T Blanchon, V Colizza, L Dassieu, L Gimenez, C Kengne-Kuetche, M Lapeyre-Mestre, J Dupouy European Journal of Pain 00, 1–11 (2022) Are People Optimistically Biased about the Risk of COVID-19 Infection? Lessons from the First Wave of the Pandemic in Europe K McColl, M Debin, C Souty, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, A Falchi, I Bonmarin, D Paolotti, C Obi, J Duggan, Y Moreno, A Wisniak, A Flahault, T Blanchon, V Colizza, J Raude International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 19, 436 (2022) |
#mobility
#response #contacts #surveillance #behavior #response #response #behavior #response #response #mobility #response #behavior #behavior |
2021
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Infodemics: A new challenge for public health
SC Briand, M Cinelli, T Nguyen, R Lewis, D Prybylski, CM Valensise, V Colizza, AE Tozzi, N Perra, A Baronchelli, M Tizzoni, F Zollo, A Scala, T Purnat, C Czerniak, AJ Kucharski, A Tshangela, L Zhou, W Quattrociocchi Cell 184, 6010–6014 (2021) Adherence and sustainability of interventions informing optimal control against the COVID-19 pandemic L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, P-Y Boëlle, C Poletto, P Crépey, J Paireau, S Cauchemez, F Beck, H Noel, D Levy-Bruhl, V Colizza Communications Medicine 1, 57 (2021) [Twitter 🧵][Code 💻] Effect of delayed awareness and fatigue on the efficacy of self-isolation in epidemic control G De Meijere, V Colizza, E Valdano, C Castellano Phys. Rev. E 104, 044316 (2021) Interplay between mobility, multi-seeding and lockdowns shapes COVID-19 local impact M Mazzoli, E Pepe, D Mateo, C Cattuto, L Gauvin, P Bajardi, M Tizzoni, A Hernando, S Meloni, JJ Ramasco PLOS Computational Biology 17, e1009326 (2021) Common communicable diseases in the general population in France during the COVID-19 pandemic T Launay, C Souty, AM Vilcu, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, C Guerrisi, T Hanslik, V Colizza, I Bardoulat, M Lemaître, P-Y Boëlle PLoS One 16, e0258391 (2021) Modelling the persistence and control of Rift Valley fever virus in a spatially heterogeneous landscape WSD Tennant, E Cardinale, C Cêtre-Sossah, Y Moutroifi, G Le Godais, D Colombi, SEF Spencer, MJ Tildesley, MJ Keeling, O Charafouddine, V Colizza, WJ Edmunds, R Métras Nature Communications 12, 5593 (2021) Projecting the COVID-19 epidemic risk in France for the summer 2021 M Mazzoli, E Valdano, V Colizza Journal of Travel Medicine 28, taab129 (2021) [Twitter 🧵] Social fluidity mobilizes contagion in human and animal populations E Colman, V Colizza, EM Hanks, AP Modlmeier, DP Hughes, S Bansal eLife 10, e62177 (2021) [Twitter 🧵] Untangling introductions and persistence in COVID-19 resurgence in Europe P Lemey, N Ruktanonchai, SL Hong, V Colizza, C Poletto, F Van den Broeck, MS Gill, X Ji, A Levasseur, BB Oude Munnink, M Koopmans, A Sadilek, S Lai, A J. Tatem, G Baele, AA Suchard, S Dellicour Nature 595, 713–717 (2021) A modelling study investigating short and medium-term challenges for COVID-19 vaccination: from prioritisation to the relaxation of measures C Tran Kiem, C Massonnaud, D Levy-Bruhl, C Poletto, V Colizza, P Bosetti, A Fontanet, A Gabet, V Olie, L Zanetti, P-Y Boëlle, P Crepey, S Cauchemez EClinicalMedicine 38, 101001 (2021) The missing season: The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on influenza CM Zipfel, V Colizza, S Bansal Vaccine 39, 3645-3648 (2021) [Twitter 🧵] Using mobile phone data to reveal risk flow networks underlying the HIV epidemic in Namibia E Valdano, JT Okano, V Colizza, H K Mitonga, S Blower Nature Communications 12, 2837 (2021) Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, G Pullano, D Lévy-Bruhl, V Colizza Eurosurveillance 26, 2100272 (2021) Highlighting socio-economic constraints on mobility reductions during COVID-19 restrictions in France can inform effective and equitable pandemic response E Valdano, J Lee, S Bansal, S Rubrichi, V Colizza Journal of Travel Medicine 28, taab045 (2021) [Twitter 🧵] Reorganization of nurse scheduling reduces the risk of healthcare associated infections E Valdano, C Poletto, P-Y Boelle, V Colizza Scientific Reports 11, 7393 (2021) Health inequities in influenza transmission and surveillance CM Zipfel, V Colizza, S Bansal PLOS Computational Biology 17, e1008642 (2021) Anatomy of digital contact tracing: role of age, transmission setting, adoption and case detection JA Moreno López, B Arregui-Garcĺa, P Bentkowski, L Bioglio, F Pinotti, P-Y Boëlle, A Barrat, V Colizza, C Poletto Science Advances 7, eabd8750 (2021) Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France L Di Domenico, G Pullano, CE Sabbatini, P-Y Boelle, V Colizza Nature Communications 12, 1073 (2021) [Code 💻] Time to evaluate COVID-19 contact-tracing apps V Colizza, E Grill, R Mikolajczyk, C Cattuto, A Kucharski, S Riley, M Kendall, K Lythgoe, D Bonsall, C Wymant, L Abeler-Dörner, L Ferretti, C Fraser Nature Medicine 27, 361–362 (2021) Early warning of infectious disease outbreaks on cattle-transport networks F Schirdewahn, HHK Lentz, V Colizza, A Koher, P Hövel, B Vidondo PLoS ONE 16, e0244999 (2021) Underdetection of COVID-19 cases in France threatens epidemic control G Pullano, L Di Domenico, CE Sabbatini, E Valdano, C Turbelin, M Debin, C Guerrisi, C Kengne-Kuetche, C Souty, T Hanslik, T Blanchon, PY Boëlle, J Figoni, S Vaux, C Campèse, S Bernard-Stoecklin, V Colizza Nature 590, 134–139 (2021) [Twitter 🧵][Code 💻] [Nature News & Views 📣] Impact of mass testing during an epidemic rebound of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study using the example of France P Bosetti, C Tran Kiem, Y Yazdanpanah, A Fontanet, B Lina, V Colizza, S Cauchemez Eurosurveillance, 26, 2001978 (2021) |
#preparedness
#response #behavior #mobility #surveillance #zoonotic #response #behavior #mobility #response #preparedness #mobility #response #mobility #contacts #surveillance #response #response #response #animals #response #response |
2020
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Keeping Low Reproductive Number Despite the Rebound Population Mobility in Korea, a Country Never under Lockdown during the COVID-19 Pandemic
S Kim, Y Kim, K Peck, Y Ko, J Lee, E Jung International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17, 9551 (2020) Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study G Pullano, E Valdano, N Scarpa, S Rubrichi, V Colizza The Lancet Digital Health 2, E638-E649 (2020) Accommodating individual travel history and unsampled diversity in Bayesian phylogeographic inference of SARS-CoV-2 P Lemey, SL Hong, V Hill, G Baele, C Poletto, V Colizza, Á O’Toole, JT McCrone, KG Andersen, M Worobey, MI Nelson, A Rambaut, MA Suchard Nature Communications 11, 5110 (2020) Active and inactive quarantine in epidemic spreading on adaptive activity-driven networks M Mancastroppa, R Burioni, V Colizza, A Vezzani Physical Review E 102, 020301(R) (2020) Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Île-de-France and possible exit strategies L Di Domenico, G Pullano, CE Sabbatini, P-Y Boëlle, V Colizza BMC Medicine 18, 240 (2020) Determinants and risk factors of gastroenteritis in the general population, a web-based cohort between 2014 and 2017 in France M Ecollan, C Guerrisi, C Souty, L Rossignol, C Turbelin, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon BMC Public Health 20, 1146 (2020) Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study F Pinotti, L Di Domenico, E Ortega, M Mancastroppa, G Pullano, E Valdano, P-Y Boelle, C Poletto, V Colizza PLOS Medicine 17, e1003193 (2020) Long-range movements coupled with heterogeneous incubation period sustain dog rabies at the national scale in Africa D Colombi, C Poletto, E Nakouné, H Bourhy, V Colizza PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14, e0008317 (2020) Mobile phone data for informing public health actions across the COVID-19 pandemic lifecycle N Oliver, B Lepri, H Sterly, R Lambiotte, S Delataille, M De Nadai, E Letouzé, A Ali Salah, R Benjamins, C Cattuto, V Colizza, N de Cordes, SP Fraiberger, T Koebe, S Lehmann, J Murillo, A Pentland, P N Pham, F Pivetta, J Saramäki, SV Scarpino, M Tizzoni, S Verhulst, P Vinck Science Advances 6, 23 (2020) Excess cases of influenza-like illnesses synchronous with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic, France, March 2020 PY Boëlle, C Souty, T Launay, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, S Behillil, V Enouf, C Poletto, B Lina, S van der Werf, D Lévy-Bruhl, V Colizza, T Hanslik, T Blanchon Eurosurveillance 25, 2000326 (2020) Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study M Gilbert, G Pullano, F Pinotti, E Valdano, C Poletto, P-Y Boelle, E D'Ortenzio, Y Yazdanpanah, SP Eholie, M Altmann, B Gutierrez, M U. G. Kraemer, V Colizza The Lancet 395, 871-877 (2020) Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020 G Pullano, F Pinotti, E Valdano, P-Y Boëlle, C Poletto, V Colizza Eurosurveillance 25, 2000057 (2020) [Press 🗞] |
2019
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Introduction to modeling disease spread in space
V Colizza Proceedings of the International School of Physics 'Enrico Fermi' 141-170 (2019) DOI: 10.3254/190010 Factors associated with influenza-like-illness: a crowdsourced cohort study from 2012/13 to 2017/18 C Guerrisi, M Ecollan, C Souty, L Rossignol, C Turbelin, M Debin, T Goronflot, P-Y Boëlle, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon BMC Public Health 19, 879 (2019) Population perception of mandatory childhood vaccination programme before its implementation, France, 2017 P Mathieu, A Gautier, J Raude, T Goronflot, T Launay, M Debin, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, T Hanslik, C Jestin, V Colizza, T Blanchon, L Rossignol Eurosurveillance 24, 1900053 (2019) Host contact dynamics shapes richness and dominance of pathogen strains F Pinotti, E Fleury, D Guillemot, P-Y Böelle, C Poletto PLoS Computational Biology 15, e1006530 (2019) Unsupervised Extraction of Epidemic Syndromes from Participatory Influenza Surveillance Self-reported Symptoms K Kalimeri, M Delfino, C Cattuto, D Perrotta, V Colizza, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, J Duggan, J Edmunds, C Obi, R Pebody, R Mexia, A Franco, Y Moreno, S Meloni, C Koppeschaar, C Kjelsø, D Paolotti PLoS Computational Biology 15, e1006173 (2019) Farm productive contexts and the dynamics of bovine viral diarrhea (BVD) transmission B Iotti, E Valdano, L Savini, L Candeloro, A Giovannini, S Rosati, V Colizza, M Giacobini Preventive Veterinary Medicine 165, 23 (2019) Mechanisms for lyssavirus persistence in non-synanthropic bats in Europe: insights from a modeling study D Colombi, J Serra-Cobo, R Métras, A Apolloni, C Poletto, M López-Roig, H Bourhy, V Colizza Scientific Reports 9, 537 (2019) Disease persistence on temporal contact networks accounting for heterogeneous infectious periods A Darbon, D Colombi, E Valdano, L Savini, A Giovannini, V Colizza Royal Society Open Science 6, 181404 (2019) |
#mobility
#surveillance #behavior #contacts #surveillance #animals #zoonotic #networks |
2018
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Shifting patterns of seasonal influenza epidemics
P Coletti, C Poletto, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, V Colizza Scientific Reports 8, 12786 (2018) Network-based assessment of the vulnerability of Italian regions to bovine brucellosis A Darbon, E Valdano, C Poletto, A Giovannini, L Savini, L Candeloro, V Colizza Preventive Veterinary Medicine 158, 25 (2018) Modeling the impact of changes in day-care contact patterns on the dynamics of varicella transmission in France between 1991 and 2015 V Marziano, P Poletti, G Béraud, P-Y Boëlle, S Merler, V Colizza PLoS Computational Biology 14(8): e1006334 (2018) The potential value of crowdsourced surveillance systems in supplementing sentinel influenza networks: the case of France C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, C Souty, C Poletto, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, V Colizza Eurosurveillance 23(25):pii=1700337 (2018) Improving early epidemiological assessment of emerging Aedes-transmitted epidemics using historical data J Riou, C Poletto, P-Y Boëlle PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 12(6): e0006526 (2018) The impact of regular school closure on seasonal influenza epidemics: a data-driven spatial transmission model for Belgium G De Luca, K Van Kerckhove, P Coletti, C Poletto, N Bossuyt, N Hens, V Colizza BMC Infectious Diseases 18, 29 (2018) Epidemic threshold in continuous-time evolving networks E Valdano, M Re Fiorentin, C Poletto, and V Colizza Physical Review Letters 120, 068302 (2018) |
#mobility
#animals #contacts #surveillance #zoonotic #mobility #networks |
2017
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Healthcare-seeking behaviour in case of influenza-like illness in the French general population and factors associated with a GP consultation: an observational prospective study
M Ariza, C Guerrisi, C Souty, L Rossignol, C Turbelin, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon BJGP Open 1(4): bjgpopen17X101253 (2017) Influenzanet: Citizens Among 10 Countries Collaborating to Monitor Influenza in Europe CE Koppeschaar, V Colizza, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, J Duggan, WJ Edmunds, C Kjelsø, R Mexia, Y Moreno, S Meloni, D Paolotti, D Perrotta, E van Straten, AO Franco JMIR Public Health Surveill 3(3):e66 (2017) Assessing the use of mobile phone data to describe recurrent mobility patterns in spatial epidemic models C Panigutti, M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, Z Smoreda, V Colizza Royal Society Open Science 4, 160950 (2017) Human mobility networks and persistence of rapidly mutating pathogens A Aleta, ANS Hisi, S Meloni, C Poletto, V Colizza, Y Moreno Royal Society Open Science 4: 160914 (2017) A comparative analysis of Chikungunya and Zika transmission J Riou, C Poletto, P-Y Boëlle Epidemics 19, 43 (2017) |
#behavior
#surveillance #mobility #mobility #zoonotic |
2016
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Participatory Syndromic Surveillance of Influenza in Europe
C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, D Perrotta, D Paolotti, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, AO Franco, R Mexia, WJ Edmunds, B Sile, R Pebody, E van Straten, S Meloni, Y Moreno, J Duggan, C Kjelsø, V Colizza Journal of Infectious Diseases 214, S386 (2016) Recalibrating disease parameters for increasing realism in modeling epidemics in closed settings L Bioglio, M Génois, CL Vestergaard, C Poletto, A Barrat, V Colizza BMC Infectious Diseases 16, 676 (2016) Risk of MERS importation and onward transmission: a systematic review and analysis of cases reported to WHO C Poletto, PY Boelle, V Colizza BMC Infectious Diseases 16, 448 (2016) Influenza during pregnancy: Incidence, vaccination coverage and attitudes toward vaccination in the French web-based cohort G-GrippeNet P Loubet, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, B Blondel, O Launay, M Bardou, F Goffinet, V Colizza, T Hanslik, S Kernéis Vaccine 34, 2390 (2016) Impact of spatially constrained sampling of temporal contact networks on the evaluation of the epidemic risk C Vestergaard, E Valdano, M Génois, C Poletto, V Colizza, A Barrat European Journal of Applied Mathematics 27, 941 (2016) First nationwide web-based surveillance system for influenza-like illness in pregnant women: participation and representativeness of the French G-GrippeNet cohort P Loubet, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, B Blondel, O Launay, M Bardou, T Blanchon, I Bonmarin, F Goffinet, P Ancel, V Colizza, T Hanslik, S Kernéis BMC Public Health 16, 253 (2016) Quantifying spatiotemporal heterogeneity of MERS-CoV transmission in the Middle East region: A combined modelling approach C Poletto, V Colizza, PY Boelle Epidemics 15, 1 (2016) |
#surveillance
#contacts #response #surveillance #networks #surveillance #response |
2015
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Infection propagator approach to compute epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: impact of immunity and of limited temporal resolution
E Valdano, C Poletto, V Colizza European Physical Journal B 88, 341 (2015) Opinion about seasonal influenza vaccination among the general population 3 years after the A(H1N1)pdm2009 influenza pandemic K Boirona, M Sarazin, M Debina, J Raude, L Rossignol, C Guerrisi, D Odinkemelu, T Hanslik, V Colizza, T Blanchon Vaccine 33, 6849 (2015) Analytical computation of the epidemic threshold on temporal networks E Valdano, L Ferreri, C Poletto, V Colizza Physical Review X 5, 021005 (2015) [Code 💻][Physics highlight 📣] Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data E Valdano, C Poletto, A Giovannini, D Palma, L Savini, V Colizza PLoS Computational Biology 11(3): e1004152 (2015) [PCB Cover 📣] Characterising two-pathogen competition in spatially structured environments C Poletto, S Meloni, A Van Metre, V Colizza, Y Moreno, A Vespignani Scientific Reports 5, 7895 (2015) |
#networks
#behavior #networks #contacts #mobility |
2014
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Association between Recruitment Methods and Attrition in Internet-Based Studies
P Bajardi , D Paolotti, A Vespignani, K Eames, S Funk, W J Edmunds, C Turbelin, M Debin, V Colizza, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, A O Franco, V Faustino, A Carnahan, M Rehn, F Merletti, J Douwes, R Firestone, L Richiardi PLoS ONE 9(12): e114925 (2014) Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic C Poletto, MF C Gomes, A Pastore y Piontti, L Rossi, L Bioglio, DL Chao, IM Longini, ME Halloran, V Colizza, A Vespignani Eurosurveillance 19:42 (2014) The representativeness of a European multi-center network for influenza-like-illness participatory surveillance P Cantarelli, M Debin, C Turbelin, C Poletto, T Blanchon, A Falchi, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, A Micheletti, D Paolotti, A Vespignani, J Edmunds, K Eames, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, A O Franco, V Faustino, A Carnahan, M Rehn, V Colizza BMC Public Health 14:984 (2014) Local and regional spread of chikungunya fever in the Americas S Cauchemez, M Ledrans, C Poletto, P Quenel, H de Valk, V Colizza, P-Y Boëlle Eurosurveillance 19:28 (2014) On the Use of Human Mobility Proxies for Modeling Epidemics M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, A Decuyper, G Kon Kam King, C Schneider, V Blondel, Z Smoreda, M Gonzalez, V Colizza PLOS Computational Biology 10(7): e1003716 (2014) Assessment of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) epidemic in the Middle East and risk of international spread using a novel maximum likelihood analysis approach C Poletto, C Pelat, D Levy-Bruhl, Y Yazdanpanah, PY Boelle, V Colizza Eurosurveillance 19(23): pii20824 (2014) Determinants of follow-up participation in the Internet-based European Influenza Surveillance platform Influenzanet P Bajardi, A Vepsignani, S Funk, KTD Eames, J Edmunds, C Turbelin, M Debin, V Colizza, R Smallenburg, C Koppeschaar, AO Franco, V Faustino, A Carnahan, M Rehn, D Paolotti Journal of Medical Internet Research 16(3), e78 (2014) Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour A Apolloni, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, P Jensen, V Colizza Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 11 (1), 3 (2014) Effectiveness of 2012-2013 influenza vaccine against influenza-like-illness in general population: estimation in a French web-based cohort M Debin, V Colizza, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, C Turbelin, A Falchi Human Vaccine & Immunotherapeutics 10(3), 1 (2014) Web-based participatory surveillance of infectious diseases: the Influenzanet participatory surveillance experience D Paolotti, A Carnahan, V Colizza, K Eames, J Edmunds, G Gomes, C Koppeschaar, M Rehn, R Smallenburg, C Turbelin, S Van Noort, A Vespignani Clinical Microbiology and Infection 20:17-21 (2014) |
#surveillance
#response #surveillance #response #mobility #response #surveillance #mobility #surveillance #surveillance |
2013
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Human mobility and time spent at destination: Impact on spatial epidemic spreading
C Poletto, M Tizzoni and V Colizza Journal of Theoretical Biology 338:41-58 (2013) Empirical temporal networks of face-to-face human interactions A Barrat, C Cattuto, V Colizza, F Gesualdo, L Isella, E Pandolfi, J-F Pinton, L Rava, C Rizzo, M Romano, J Stehle, AE Tozzi, W Van den Broeck European Physical Journal Special Topics 222, 1295 (2013) Evaluating the feasibility and participants' representativeness of an online nationwide surveillance system for influenza in France M Debin, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, I Bonmarin, A Falchi, T Hanslik, D Levy-Bruhl, C Poletto, V Colizza PLOS ONE 8(9):e73675 (2013) Host mobility drives pathogen competition in spatially structured populations C Poletto, S Meloni, V Colizza, Y Moreno, A Vespignani PLOS Computational Biology 9(8): e1003169 (2013) Age-specific contacts and travel patterns in the spatial spread of 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic A Apolloni, C Poletto, V Colizza BMC Infectious Diseases 13, 176 (2013) |
#mobility
#contacts #surveillance #mobility #mobility |
2012
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Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, D Balcan, B Goncalves, N Perra, V Colizza, A Vespignani. BMC Medicine 10, 165 (2012) Heterogeneous length of stay of hosts’ movements and spatial epidemic spread C Poletto, M Tizzoni, V Colizza Scientific Reports 2, 476 (2012) Optimizing surveillance for livestock disease spreading through animal movements P Bajardi, A Barrat, L Savini, V Colizza Journal of Royal Society Interface 9, 2814-2825 (2012) |
#response
#mobility #animals |
2011
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Simulation of an SIR infectious disease model on the dynamic contact network of conference attendees
J Stehle, N Voirin, A Barrat, C Cattuto, V Colizza, L Isella, C Regis, J-F Pinton, N Khanafer, W Van den Broeck, P Vanhems BMC Medicine 9, 87 (2011) Dynamical patterns of cattle trade movements P Bajardi, A Barrat, F Natale, L Savini, V Colizza PLoS ONE 6(5), e19869 (2011) Close encounters in a pediatric ward: measuring face-to-face proximity and mixing patterns with wearable sensors L Isella, M Romano, A Barrat, C Cattuto, V Colizza, W Van den Broeck, F Gesualdo, E Pandolfi, L Rava, C Rizzo, AE Tozzi PLoS ONE 6(2), e17144 (2011) Assessing the exotoxicologic hazards of a pandemic influenza medical response AC Singer, V Colizza, H Schmitt, J Andrews, D Balcan, WE Huang, VDJ Keller, A Vespignani, R Williams Environmental Health Perspectives 119, 1084-1090 (2011) The GLEaMviz computational tool, a publicly available software to explore realistic epidemic spreading scenarios at the global scale W Van den Broeck, C Gioannini, B Gonçalves, M Quaggiotto, V Colizza, A Vespignani BMC Infectious Diseases 11, 37 (2011) Human mobility networks, travel restrictions, and the global spread of 2009 H1N1 pandemic P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, M Tizzoni, V Colizza, A Vespignani PLoS ONE 6(1), e16591 (2011) |
#contacts
#mobility #contacts #response #mobility #mobility |
2010
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Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility computational model
D Balcan, B Goncalves, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, V Colizza, A Vespignani Journal of Computational Science 1, 132 (2010) Dynamics of person-to-person interactions from distributed RFID sensor networks C Cattuto, W Van den Broeck, A Barrat, V Colizza, J-F Pinton, A Vespignani PLoS ONE 5(7), e11596 (2010) Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models M Ajelli, B Goncalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, S Merler, A Vespignani BMC Infectious Diseases 10, 190 (2010) |
#mobility
#contacts #mobility |
2009
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Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases
D Balcan, V Colizza, B Goncalves, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, A Vespignani Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106, 21484 (2009) [PNAS Cover 📣] Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere P Bajardi, C Poletto, D Balcan, H Hu, B Goncalves, JJ Ramasco, D Paolotti, N Perra, M Tizzoni, W Van den Broeck, V Colizza, A Vespignani Emerging Health Threats Journal 2:e11 (2009) Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility D. Balcan, H Hu, B Goncalves, P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, D Paolotti, N Perra, M Tizzoni, W Van den Broeck, V Colizza, A Vespignani BMC Medicine 7, 45 (2009) WiFi networks and malware epidemiology H Hu, S Myers, V Colizza, A. Vespignani Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106, 1318-1323 (2009) |
#mobility
#response #response #networks |
2008
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Prominence and Control: The Weighted Rich-Club Effect
T. Opsahl, V. Colizza, P.Panzarasa, J.J. Ramasco Phys Rev Lett 101, 168702 (2008) Epidemic modeling in metapopulation systems with heterogeneous coupling pattern: Theory and simulations V. Colizza, A. Vespignani J. Theor. Biol. 251, 450-467 (2008) |
#networks
#networks |
2007
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Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study
V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani BMC Medicine 5, 34 (2007) Invasion threshold in heterogeneous metapopulation networks V. Colizza, A. Vespignani Phys. Rev. Lett.99, 148701 (2007) Reaction-diffusion processes and metapopulation models in heterogeneous networks V. Colizza, R. Pastor-Satorras, A. Vespignani Nature Physics 3, 276-282 (2007) Epidemic predictability in meta-population models with heterogeneous couplings: the impact of disease parameter values V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani Int. J. Bifurcation & Chaos 17, 2491-2500 (2007) Epidemic modeling in complex realities V. Colizza, M. Barthelemy, A. Barrat, A. Vespignani CR Biologies 330, 364-374 (2007) Modeling the Worldwide Spread of Pandemic Influenza: Baseline Case and Containment Interventions V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A.-J. Valleron, A. Vespignani PLoS Medicine 4(1): e13 (2007) |
#mobility
#networks #networks #networks #networks #response |
2006
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Optimal paths in complex networks with correlated weights: the World-Wide Airport Network
Z. Wu, L.A. Braunstein, V. Colizza, R. Cohen, S. Havlin, H.E. Stanley Phys. Rev. E 74, 056104 (2006) The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 103, 2015-2020 (2006) The Modeling of Global Epidemics: Stochastic Dynamics and Predictability V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani Bull. Math. Biol. 68, 1893-1921 (2006) Detecting rich-club ordering in complex networks V. Colizza, A. Flammini, M.A. Serrano, A. Vespignani Nature Physics 2, 110-115 (2006) |
#mobility
#mobility #mobility #networks |
Book chapters
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Epidemic spreading and complex networks
A. Barrat, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani in UNESCO-EOLSS Encyclopedia of Life Support System (2010) Modeling WiFi Malware Epidemics H. Hu, S. Myers, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani in Crimeware, M. Jakobsson & Z. Ramzan editors (Symantec Press, Addison Wesley, 2008) |
#networks
#networks |
EPIcx lab, 27 rue Chaligny, 75012, Paris, France
INSERM - Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale
Sorbonne Université, Faculté de Médecine
IPLESP UMR-S 1136, site Hôpital St Antoine
INSERM - Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale
Sorbonne Université, Faculté de Médecine
IPLESP UMR-S 1136, site Hôpital St Antoine
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